Monday, March 1, 2010

Larsen predicts the Oscars, '10: this time it's personal

Vanity Fair's Graydon Carter does hilarious iPhone/Oscar shtick.

It's with much pomp and circumstance every year that I predict the Oscar winners.

Because, as I shamelessly brag every year, I once won Movie Village's big Oscar contest grand prize by correctly choosing every, single Oscar category correctly, including the short-film and animation-no-one-saw-nor-will-ever-see categories. No small feat, if I do say so myself.

True, I did win so long ago that movies were actually called "talkies." So, you wanna make somethin' of it?

For my success, I won a free movie every day for a year, which is how I became the quivering, naked, light-deprived mess of a man who now stands before you. Have you got that image? Good, let's move on.

In recent years, I haven't done so well. Last year, I got 72 per cent correct, moronically selecting Batman and Mickey Rourke for Oscars that weren't to be, making the classic mistake of choosing with my heart instead of my mind.

Vanity Fair Oscar app

This year, Vanity Fair has made it easier for me - and you - to make our Oscar predictions and find out how we stack up against each another with its free iPhone and Facebook Hollywood app.

The app is a high-quality affair, sponsored by L'Oréal and featuring Oscar-related news, trailers, chat, a link to Facebook, a chance to enter your Oscar picks and, on the big night, track the leaderboard to see how you stack up.

After getting my best movie buddy to go over my picks this morning and provide me with some feedback, I'm ready to make this year's picks public. As well, I'm including the degree to which users of Vanity Fair's app agree or disagree.

In short, I'm predicting an Avatar sweep, with some exceptions. If Avatar does what I think it will do, all will be right with the world. If not, I'm throwing my iPhone into the Assiniboine river and putting a curse on Vanity Fair, Graydon Carter, and L'Oréal.

Ready? Let's party!

Best Picture
Avatar (52 per cent of people using the app agree with me)

Kathryn Bigelow - The Hurt Locker (22 per cent agree)

Lead Actor
Jeff Bridges (38 per cent agree)

Lead Actress
Meryl Streep (17 per cent agree)
(No, I cannot select Sandra Bullock for the Blind Side. No, no, can't, can't, won't.)

Supporting Actor
Christoph Waltz (45 per cent agree)

Best Supporting Actress
Mo'Nique (51 per cent agree)

Art Direction
Avatar (81 per cent agree)

Avatar (72 per cent agree)

Costume Design
Coco Before Chanel (26 per cent agree)
(I haven't seen this film, but how can it lose with that title?)

Star Trek (80 per cent agree)

Food, Inc. (66 per cent agree)

Foreign Film
The White Ribbon (62 per cent agree)

Animated Film
Up (74 per cent agree)

Avatar (66 per cent agree)

Avatar (44 per cent agree)

The one from Crazy Heart (44 per cent agree)

Sound Editing
Avatar (64 per cent agree)

Sound Mixing
Avatar (64 per cent agree)

Visual Effects
Avatar (89 per cent agree)

Original Screenplay
Inglourious Basterds (52 per cent agree)

Adapted Screenplay
Precious (28 per cent agree)

Live-Action Short
The Door (63 per cent agree)

Documentary Short
China's Unnatural Disaster (64 per cent agree)

Animated Short
French Roast (64 per cent agree)

See you on the red-carpet app!


  1. I have a feeling Sandra Bullock will get it for Lead Actress. I don't like it, but I've accepted it.

    I figure James Cameron will get Best Director for "Avatar", based on the technology alone. I'm thinking it'll get Best Picture for that reason as well.

    This year feels more up in the air than last year. Last year had relatively few "surprises", save for Sean Penn getting Best Actor instead of Mickey Rourke. I'd also seen way more of the nominees last year...

  2. Avatar for best picture? If you're conceding it's not the best directed based on your Hurt Locker pick, and it didn't even receive a nomination for screenplay or any nominations for acting - how can a movie that isn't the best directed, written or acted be the best film? Based on looking neat? If that were the case, Tron would have won in 1982.

  3. Kathryn Bigelow for Best Director! My fingers are crossed! I really want her to beat James Cameron.

    My picks are mostly the same as your's. Except maybe The Hurt Locker for Best Picture too? Am i getting greedy? Best Original Screenplay?

    I haven't seen the Blind Side but I would have liked to see The Hangover get nominated instead.

  4. I liked the Hurt Locker, but I liked Moon a million times more, and it's nominated for: nothing!

  5. You need the tie breaker of which dead celebrity will get the loudest applause during the always tasteless "montage of death which we clap at the people we recognize"

    Britney Murphy is total going to be more popular than some lame dead screenwriter from the 50's, but Micheal Jackson was in the Wiz so I think he wins over the olds like Karl Malden.


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